The Politics Of Impeachment | NBC News NOW

Channel: NBC News
Published: 12/11/2019 05:19 AM

The fight for impeachment votes is just getting started on Capitol Hill and both Democrats and Republicans will try to convince their colleagues across the aisle to break ranks. NBC News’ Steve Kornacki discusses how likely that is to happen. » Subscribe to NBC News:

Okay, so two articles of impeachment democrats unveiling them today they will first go to the house. Judiciary committee they'll be voted there. It looks like this week, presumably they will pass and then they will go to the house floor next week. If one or if both of those articles pass on the house floor, donald trump will be impeached. He will be charged officially by the house of representativ ...
s with high crimes and misdemeanors, and it's over to the senate for a trial. Of course, if two-thirds of senators agree, the president would then be removed from office. That would be the first time in history. A president is impeached and removed from office. Of course, the possibilityof that actually happening depends on ultimately republicans turning against donald trump, and that's really the question here, the politics of all of this. How do they look right now? Well, the simple answer is both sides. Look very dug in on this question. Democrats seem to be onboard here with impeaching trump on both of these counts.

On both of these articles, the democrats introduced today if it looks like a nancy pelosi, really took the temperature of the democratic caucus made sure there was a willingness to go forward with these two particular charges. Democrats, certainly on paper, have the votes to get what they want out of the house and there was no indication watching those intelligencecommittee hearings. First, a couple weeks ago, then, the judiciary committee hearings that have taken place over the last week or so no indication watching those two committees of any breakage among democrats. So it looks like democrats are on board with this by and large. Remember when you had that initial impeachment inquiry vote to authorize this entire process, this goes back a couple of months, but when you had that vote two democrats, only two democrats voted no on that. They were both democrats from pro-trump districts. Otherwise, the entire democratic caucus was on board, so democrats in the house looks like they have the votes and it looks like they unlikely have unity there. What about republicansany sign of republicans? Turning on trump again, if you watch those intelligence committee hearings, you got no indication of it from the republican members on that committee. If you watched the judiciary committee hearings, you got no indication of it from the republican members of the judiciary committee. In fact, during those committee hearings on the intelligence side, you had will heard a republican from texas will her is leaving the house. He comes from a district that voted for hillary clinton in 2016. He himself said he did not vote for donald trump in 2016.

He was seen as one of the most likely republicans if they were going to be any to turn on trump. He saidat the end of those intelligence committee hearings. He did not think that donald trump had committed an impeachable offense. So again, no indication here of republicans. Turning on trump, everything is pointing to a largely we'll see what this actually looks like, but a largely party line vote in the house and an expectation that the senate would probably look the same way. So the expectation right now trump would be impeached and then not removed from office. He could be acquitted by the senate. That'S what happened to bill clinton back in 1998, republicans had the votes to impeach him in the house. They did impeach him in the house. They brought it over to the senate. Theydid not have a two-thirds supermajority there. Bill clinton was acquitted in february of 1999.

I think they think that's driving. This was just a look at the polls. Public and voters continue to be about 90 percent behind donald trump. On this, and if republicans are 90 percent or so behind trump hard to see many republican lawmakers breaking with him. And, conversely, if you look at the democratic side, you see very strong democratic support for impeachment so again hard to see democrats breaking with their own party either, and so that's where we are it's a familiar story. It'S been the story of the last few years. Probably longer than that, but certainly the story of thetrump era is just polarization. Both sides really dug in in two very different places: hey nbc news viewers thanks for checking out our youtube channel, subscribe by clicking on that button down here and click on any of the videos over here to watch. The latest interviews show highlights, and digital exclusives thanks for watching.

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